The 49ers moved from +3.5 to +2 earlier this week, but the spread has taken a u-turn and the Patriots are now back up to -3. Matt Meiselman gives football betting analysis and insight for Week 7 of the NFL, including line movement and betting splits. Over the last season-plus, Thursday night home teams are just 9-11 SU and 5-15 ATS. Two weeks ago, the Browns blew a lead and lost to the Chargers 47-42.
- Furthermore, the unique odds we produce in select news articles are also for amusement, and are not available to be wagered on.
- Rams RB Todd Gurley is the NFL’s second-leading rusher with 1,203 yards.
- The Broncos will be duly motivated by their loss to the Chargers in Week 6 and a matchup against old friend Brock Osweiler, whom Denver defenders jokingly said they want to “kill” this week.
- Both the Bills and more recently the Chiefs lit up Washington, and Aaron Rodgers and the Packers could be next on the list as they look to win their fifth game in a row as well, just like Ravens .
- Raiders’ starter Derek Carr suffered a broken leg in last week’s win over Indianapolis.
- Tennessee’s defense shouldn’t be too intimidating for the Chiefs to see their offense regress in Week 7.
Cincinnati is 1-4 straight up in their last five games when playing on the road against Baltimore. The total has gone under in five of Cincinnati’s last six games on the road. Only four of the 12 weekend games have a lower point total threshold.
Just because it’s an NFL Sunday doesn’t mean you need to have a monster betting card, especially when it comes to the upcoming Week 7 slate specifically as six teams are on byes. One of the most common mistakes made by recreational sports bettors is wagering on too many games. Next week is where you’ll get nailed when they host the Green Bay Packers. Let me guess…you are dying to bet against them this week because they currently 17-point favorites against the Houston Texans at MaximBet? Halloween is still a week and a half away, but we have a horror story brewing for NFL bettors. The Arizona Cardinals (6-0) are the league’s last undefeated team, currently sitting atop the NFC West and, if the playoffs started today, would have homefield advantage in the NFC.
Nfl Week 7 Preview
After you get tired of losing(and if you have any money left!) than come on over and play with the BIG BOYS at NSAwins.com. There are plus matchups for Tampa Bay either way as its defensive backs have more helpful hints shown an ability to wreak havoc on short passing games, the same style the Raiders prefer to employ. Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 vs. Cleveland Browns Both teams are nearly identical in terms of EPA per play on both offense and defense.
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With fans back in stadiums, there was the expectation that home teams would have a disproportionate amount of success, but that has not been the case so far. Luckily for the betting public, favorites fared well in Week 6 as they finished 10-4 straight up and 8-6 ATS. 2021 has been an up-and-down year for favorites, though, as they are straight up but just on the year.
The Bears, now 3-2, are off to one of their best starts in several years. Jacksonville won both games against Houston last year by large margins – 29-7 and 45-7. Prior to last season, the Texans had won six in a row against Jacksonville. They are two of the hottest teams in the NFC right now and they are likely the two biggest threats to the conference coup being started by the 7-0 Los Angeles Rams.
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The Patriots are 17-4 at Gillette Stadium in the postseason and in their last five divisional round playoff games there have scored at least 34 points in all but one. Some may say that QB Tom Brady is beginning to decline especially after a December in which he threw just six touchdowns and picked off five times. For the Patriots though, when one struggles someone else picks up the slack. The 10 Super Bowl appearances are an NFL record and the Patriots have been getting used to playing for the Lombardi Trophy having won it in three of the last four Super Bowls.
Ravens Pk Over Jets Over
The Rams are a 16.5 point home favorite over the winless Detroit Lions in Week 7. The Broncos are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. AFC, 8-1 ATS in their last nine games in October, and 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Broncos have actually won two in a row now that Lock has returned to the lineup.